A light on the Brazil of shadows

By ETCO
25/10/2011

Research shows how informality and tax evasion prevent Brazil from actually growing.


By André Lahóz - EXAME Magazine (02/06/2004)


In 1997, when preparing a comprehensive study on the competitiveness of the Brazilian economy, McKinsey consultancy found that the country's productivity had been contaminated by the deleterious action of the so-called informal economy. As a result, the technicians started to monitor some vital signs of informality and decided to transform the material gathered into a report. The result is the most ambitious work ever prepared on the subject, which EXAME publishes in this report. The main conclusion of the research is to leave President Lula and his ministers gaping. A 20% reduction in informality would be able to raise the growth rate by at least 1,5 percentage points. It means to say that Brazil's GDP could increase 5% per year. If the drop in informality were greater, current growth could almost double - which would make Brazil a kind of China in the tropics. "The country needs to decide," says Emerson Kapaz, president of Instituto Etco, an NGO created to defend business ethics, and McKinsey's partner in preparing the work. “If you don't face this issue, you will keep skating. It's like the story of the saúva. Either Brazil ends informality or informality ends Brazil. ”




















10%


of all the musical piracy in the world happens in Brazil


25%


of toys are sold illegally


55%


of Brazilian workers are informal


70%


of computers are illegal


85%


of small businesses do not pay taxes


The study sheds light on a little-known Brazil, where evasion, informal relations, piracy and smuggling thrive. This shadow Brazil already accounts for no less than 40% of the national income, says the study - and everything indicates that it continues to advance over the official Brazil. The effects of informality are not always fully realized. Many people see informality not as a problem, but as a solution - in a country that generates few jobs, nothing better than having a way to guarantee income for the poor. It is a limited view. First of all, it seems to refer to the time when the problem came down to some street vendor stalls in large cities. Few numbers are enough to verify the anachronism of this view. According to the McKinsey study, more than 10% of all music piracy in the world takes place in Brazil. Of every ten computers purchased in the country, seven are illegal. The illegal drug market has tripled in just four years. Almost 80% of the retail food trade practices evasion. Almost 60% of Brazilian workers are not registered. The list of examples could go on, but it must have already become clear that tax evasion has long since stopped being restricted to a handful of street vendors or a few sacoleiras crossing the Paraguayan border. “Entire business segments were structured according to the logic of evasion, sometimes with clear ramifications for organized crime,” says Emerson Kapaz.















































One of the worst in the world


The rate of Brazilian informality in the economy is one of the highest (in%)


EUA


9


China


13


Australia


15


Chile


20


India


23


Argentina


25


South Korea


27


Mexico


30


World average


32


Colombia


39


Brazil


40


Russia


46


Source: McKinsey



Second, those who do not see major problems in informality do not seem to capture its effect on the growth rate of the economy. According to the study, companies in the formal sector are twice as productive as informal ones. Therefore, every time informality advances, the country's average productivity falls. A less productive economy is one that uses its resources inefficiently. Much energy is lost throughout the production process and little is left for wages and profits. A real example helps to clarify the issue. The American worker is five times more productive than the Brazilian. That is, your work yields five times more. It is no other reason that Americans are, on average, five times richer. “Productivity is essential to understand how some countries get rich and others fall behind,” says economist José Alexandre Scheinkman, from Princeton University, one of the guests at an event organized by the Etco institute on the subject, scheduled for June 7, in Sao Paulo.

Gaining productivity, therefore, should be a national obsession. Unfortunately, in recent years, the exact opposite has occurred. Instead of improving, the country has moved backwards in the fight against informality. Although there are few reliable indicators - after all, informal businesses do everything they can to remain hidden - all the signs are of increased tax evasion. It is a result that is not surprising. In recent years, the tax burden has increased by no less than 10 percentage points, reaching 37% of GDP, a level that can only be found in rich countries in Europe. But, contrary to what the developed nations do, Brazil and the other emerging economies concentrate their tax burden on companies, responsible for about 80% of the collection. In other words, Brazil copies the poor countries when distributing the cargo, but follows the rich when defining their size. The result could not be otherwise. The weight of company taxes is enormous. The comparison with the Americans is again worth it. Taxes on companies correspond to 23% of GDP in Brazil, compared to just 14% in the United States.

















The root of the problem


High informality helps explain Brazil's economic backwardness












The tax burden paid by Brazilian companies is much higher than that of American companies.
Tax burden on companies (% of GDP)


EUA


14


BRAZIL


23













Tax evasion allows the informal sector to prosper even though it is less productive.
Productivity compared to the USA


Informal BRAZIL


1/6 American


Formal BRAZIL


1/3 American













As a result, Brazilian productivity falls and the country is impoverished.
Worker productivity in Brazil and the USA


Brazilian productivity is


1/5 American


Brazilian per capita income is


1/4 American



Source: McKinsey



High taxes generate tax evasion - here or anywhere on the planet. For a simple reason: the decision to evade is now rewarded with an advantage of up to 30% in the final price. An example presented in the McKinsey study shows that the income of a small food retailer can triple if taxes are not paid. It is this differential that explains the advance of informality. If competition between companies were balanced, the most efficient ones would prevail. As the formal sector is more productive, the country should be observing the opposite phenomenon: the reduction of informality. The high tax burden, however, turned the game in favor of tax evaders. The competition between formal and informal is so unfair that it compromises the good image of companies before consumers. “We ended up getting a reputation as careiros, just because we pay taxes and the con man on the corner doesn't pay anything, just bribes”, says the owner of a large retail chain.



The imbalance poses a trap for the productive sector. A large company finds it difficult to operate informally. On the one hand, the visibility itself makes it much more supervised. On the other hand, an eventual scandal can be fatal in the case of a well-known brand (which does not prevent many of them from also circumventing the law). The obligation to pay a lot of taxes and compete with tax evaders can lead to a decision to leave the market. This is what Josmar Verillo, president of the Brazilian subsidiary of Alcoa, one of the largest aluminum producers in the world, says. Some Alcoa products are used in civil construction, such as window frames or bathroom stall metal. For some years now, the company has suffered doubly from informality. Firstly, for piracy. “Our products have even been included in the catalog of some competitors,” says Verillo. Second, competition from companies that are able to offer artificially low prices. "We just abandoned some markets," says Verillo. The result is that the appetite for investment decreases over time.

The same trap also imprisons successful informal businesses. As soon as they grow up, the competitive edge conferred by informality starts to represent a headache. As they increase in size, they naturally start to attract inspection - everything they don't want. Informality is a problem when it comes to financing from banks. Attracting talent is just as complicated. In other words, informality can quickly become a barrier to growth and investment. “Brazil is in a perverse balance in which formal companies cannot grow, and informal companies cannot grow,” says Diana Farrell, director of the McKinsey Global Institute, the company's economic research institute.

It is not just the high tax burden that encourages tax evasion. It also rides on another wave: the low capacity of the Federal Revenue to inspect. A survey by the Getulio Vargas Foundation with more than 50 companies with up to five employees showed that only 000% of them were up to date with the tax authorities. With few resources, the inspectors are concentrated in large companies, which account for a significant portion of revenue. The result is almost certain impunity in the rest of the market. The example of pharmacies is illustrative. The largest chains in São Paulo account for 15% of the estimated revenue of the sector. But they collect half of the ICMS collected by the state. Mathematically, this is only possible because someone is failing to pay what they owe. The distribution of products starts to be thought following the logic of evasion. It is common practice to financially reward truck drivers who are able to avoid meeting tax officials on the roads - as the expedient allows them to “reuse” the same invoice. This makes the distribution route vary because of the inspection. Another habit is to register only part of the transported cargo, betting that the inspector will not check the cargo. "These are practices of this type that explain prices below the cost of production," says Milton Seligman, director of corporate relations at Ambev. “One thing is the promotions that we all do. It is quite another to have a systematic price pattern that is justified by tax evasion. ”

Another example of a break in economic rationality concerns the so-called “goods tour” in the country. The Brazilian tax system allows each state to have its own tax policy. This creates unusual situations. Imagine the example of an auto parts producer in São Paulo that supplies to a store in Minas Gerais. One would expect the transaction to be made through the shortest distance between the two points. In practice, what happens is a triangular sale, in which the product travels to Brasília and goes to Minas. In the first case, the ICMS paid would be 12%. In the second, only 8%, since the Federal District offers a discount to be able to host an activity that would otherwise pass miles away. Note that all of this happens under the chaotic legislation. It is as if the State is pushing people to practice a certain excessive tax creativity.

Inspection problems are not restricted to the tax authorities. There are a number of other ways to gain competitiveness informally, many of them bypassing health authorities. Many refrigerators "boost" the weight of chickens by injecting water into the animals' chests just before freezing them. Weight gain can reach 25%. This allows to deceive the consumer with lower prices. "The result is that there are no more whole chickens from the leading brands in supermarkets," says Nildemar Secches, president of Perdigão, one of the largest food companies in the country. "We have no chance to compete on those terms." The company has directed much of its production abroad, as sanitary controls, especially in Europe, are much stricter for everyone, reducing the space for unfair competition. In addition, products sold abroad pay a much lower tax burden - around 5%, compared to 30% paid for production sold in Brazil.





























Consumption
With consumption down, more formal companies are forced to join informality to varying degrees. It's a matter of survival


Pricing
By not paying taxes, the informal economy is able to sell its products at lower prices


Hand Wrapps
With higher prices than companies that evade, formal companies sell less


Investment
When formal companies sell less, their profit drops. The same goes for your investment capacity


Jobs
When companies do not invest, the country does not generate enough formal jobs to supply demand


Income
With fewer job opportunities, people's income decreases and they buy less


Concentration
The inspectors focus on the larger companies


Taxes
The tax burden stifles companies


Impunity
Few tax evaders are punished by the courts


Tolerance
Brazilian society accepts tax evasion


Law
Tax legislation is complex


Inspection
Quality is fragile